Comparing supervised machine learning and large language models in title-abstract screening
Marco F. Aigner, Matthias Ganzinger, Pascal Probst, Moritz Rinckens, Thomas M. Pausch · Systematic Reviews · 2026
AI-generated evidence extraction, verified across multiple analytical personas. Not a substitute for the peer-reviewed original.
This is an AI analysis. Read the peer-reviewed original at the publisher: https://doi.org/10.1186/s13643-026-03199-6
Methodology & findings
Study design
Comparative evaluation study assessing performance of both supervised machine learning (SML) and large language models (LLM) in title/abstract-screening.
Sample
N = 40101, 6 groups
Primary method
Bootstrap sampling with 1000 resamples for confidence interval calculation; Delta-method for F1-score confidence intervals (Takahashi et al. method); Confusion matrices calculated using scikit-learn's confusion_matrix function; Train-test split (70% training, 30% testing, stratified by class label); Class weight balancing set to 'balanced' for most SML models (except Naïve Bayes); Random undersampling with scikit-optimize for class imbalance handling; TF-IDF vectorization for SML feature extraction; Lemmatization using WordNetLemmatizer with positional tags; English stopword removal; Percentile-based determination of text length outliers (95% quantile)
Main result
The study found that "both the SML models and the LLM achieve recall values close to or above those of human reviewers." More specifically, "Models have achieved human performance, meaning that they have met or exceeded both a recall of 0.865 and a specificity of 0.79 on the three datasets animal depression (all except for the Naïve Bayes classifier), pancreatic surgery (logistic regression, random forest, support vector machine), and ADHD (llama)." The paper notes that "SML achieves higher F1-scores than the LLM, while the latter is more sensitive towards true positives."
Reports effect sizes and confidence intervals.
Research paradigm
Empirical positivism with comparative benchmarking
Author conclusions
The authors conclude: "Evidence-based clinical practice as well as preclinical research rely on SRs to provide patients with the best possible care according to the latest evidence." They further state that "While both types of models are similarly accessible as they can run on consumer-grade hardware, we consider Llama-3.1-8B-Instruct to be more trustworthy, as it explains its inclusions in natural language which enables human reviewers to validate their correctness." The authors emphasize: "In practice, a model must be accessible, performant, and trustworthy to be used in title/abstract-screening," and conclude that "SML models, on the other hand, are incomprehensible black boxes which are not trivial to implement and interpret for reviewers with only a medical background."
Risk of bias
Human subjectivity in labeling training data (reviewers susceptible to interpretation differences); Potential data leakage: LLM may have been trained on datasets or similar articles in pretraining corpus; Class imbalance in datasets (2.5% to 26.0% inclusion rates); Dataset quality variations (duplicates, corrupted texts, non-English articles); Retrospective dataset use may not reflect prospective performance; Limited hyperparameter tuning could disadvantage certain models; Single prompt approach for LLM evaluation may not represent optimal performance; Potential LLM overfitting to retrospective data due to unknown training corpus composition; Selection bias in datasets: varying class imbalances (2.5% to 26.0% inclusion rates) may not represent typical systematic reviews (3-6% inclusion rates); Measurement bias: human reviewer labels subject to subjectivity and interpretation inconsistencies; Detection bias: automated duplicate detection may miss some duplicates (490 articles with matching titles not manually cross-checked); Data quality issues: noise from OpenAlex data source carries over errors (e.g., author lists instead of abstracts); Missing data: 5.76% of articles without abstracts on average; Model selection bias: minimal hyperparameter tuning may not represent optimal performance; Selection bias: Datasets with varying class imbalances were intentionally selected, which may not represent typical systematic reviews; Data quality issues: Duplicates, corrupted texts, non-English articles, and HTML noise may affect model performance; Human labeling bias: Labels assigned by human reviewers are susceptible to subjectivity and interpretation; LLM training corpus contamination: Datasets may already be part of Llama model's training corpus, leading to potential overfitting; Incomplete data preprocessing: Manual cross-checking was not performed for 490 pancreatic surgery articles with matching titles
Limitations
- The authors state: "The results of this study are only partially comparable to those of other studies, as many of these vary in terms of datasets, models and other methods that they used." Additionally, "a limitation inherent to title/abstract-screening itself is that the labels used to train and evaluate the models were assigned by human reviewers, who are susceptible to subjectivity and interpretation." Furthermore, "Because the LLM was pretrained on large webscale corpora, we cannot exclude that some evaluated abstracts, related review texts, or closely similar examples were present in its pretraining data." The study also notes that "Due to the size of the datasets, we relied on automation (filtering non-English abstracts, duplicates) and heuristics (removing lengthy abstracts) to search for noise in the data."
Open questions raised
- Need for curating datasets like SYNERGY for reuse in studies on automation of title/abstract-screening
- Investigation of how attributes in datasets and inclusion criteria contribute to classification performance
- For living systematic reviews, training on earlier update cycles and evaluating on later waves to test temporal generalization under realistic prospective conditions
- More elaborate prompting approaches for LLMs such as few-shot examples or in-context learning
- Formal prompt-sensitivity analyses for LLM optimization
- Systematic comparison of LLMs with different numbers of parameters
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